1. Partizan vs OFK Beograd

Partizan vs OFK Beograd 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
PartizanPartizan

3–1

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
1.8Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Partizan would usually take 1.6 points and OFK Beograd 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Partizan.

Partizan +1.4 pts vs chancesOFK Beograd −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Partizan vs OFK Beograd stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Partizan

OFK Beograd

5

Shots on target

6

3

Big chances

3

6

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

2

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Partizan and OFK Beograd ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Partizan win with 65% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Železničar Pančevo – Partizan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Partizan vs OFK Beograd — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan to win

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Partizan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

OFK Beograd Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFK Beograd 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Partizan vs OFK Beograd 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Partizan vs OFK Beograd. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
PartizanPartizan3
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd1

Winner

1 65%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

165%
X20%
215%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Partizan13%87%39%61%
OFK Beograd50%50%81%19%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Partizan67%33%85%15%
OFK Beograd95%5%99%1%

1st Half

143%
X41%
216%

1st Score

167%
X5%
228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

40%

X-1

19%

X-X

13%

2-2

9%

X-2

6%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.1%

2-0

11.0%

2-1

10.9%

1-1

9.5%

3-0

7.7%

3-1

6.5%

0-0

5.0%

0-1

4.6%

2-2

4.5%

1-2

4.2%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Železničar Pančevo – Partizan prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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