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Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result
Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda

2–1

PartizanPartizan
2.0Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Crvena Zvezda would usually take 2.0 points and Partizan 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Crvena Zvezda.

Crvena Zvezda +1.0 pts vs chancesPartizan −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Crvena Zvezda

Partizan

3

Shots on target

4

5

Big chances

1

2

Corners

5

6

Yellow cards

3

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Crvena Zvezda and Partizan ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Crvena Zvezda win with 71% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crvena Zvezda – Mladost Lučani prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda to win

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Crvena Zvezda Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Partizan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Partizan 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Superliga - Serbia
Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda2
PartizanPartizan1

Winner

1 71%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

171%
X16%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Crvena Zvezda10%90%32%68%
Partizan54%46%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Crvena Zvezda59%41%79%21%
Partizan96%4%99%1%

1st Half

154%
X32%
214%

1st Score

172%
X4%
224%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

48%

X-1

18%

X-X

10%

2-2

7%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

10.5%

2-1

10.5%

1-0

9.4%

3-0

8.9%

1-1

8.1%

3-1

6.8%

2-2

4.2%

1-2

4.0%

3-2

4.0%

0-0

3.7%

0-1

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crvena Zvezda – Mladost Lučani prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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