Železničar Pančevo vs Mačva Šabac 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Železničar Pančevo2–0
Mačva ŠabacOn these chances Železničar Pančevo would usually take 2.9 points and Mačva Šabac 0.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Železničar Pančevo.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Železničar Pančevo vs Mačva Šabac stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Železničar Pančevo had more than twice the shots on target
Železničar Pančevo
Mačva Šabac
12
Shots on target
1
10
Big chances
0
9
Corners
0
2
Yellow cards
3
66%
Possession
35%
Železničar Pančevo vs Mačva Šabac — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Železničar Pančevo to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Železničar Pančevo ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Železničar Pančevo 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Železničar Pančevo 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Mačva Šabac 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Železničar Pančevo vs Mačva Šabac 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Železničar Pančevo vs Mačva Šabac. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Železničar Pančevo2
Mačva Šabac0Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Železničar Pančevo2Mačva Šabac0Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
No 58%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 52% | 48% |
| 53% | 47% | 85% | 15% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
20%
X-X
17%
2-2
8%
X-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.6%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score