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Skalica vs Spartak Trnava

Skalica vs Spartak Trnava 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Niké Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fair result

Skalica

1–1

Spartak Trnava

1.6Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Skalica would usually take 1.6 points and Spartak Trnava 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Spartak Trnava.

Skalica −0.6 pts vs chancesSpartak Trnava −0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Skalica vs Spartak Trnava stats: how the match was played

Niké Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Spartak Trnava had clearly more shots on target

Skalica

Spartak Trnava

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

34%

Possession

66%

The match between Skalica and Spartak Trnava ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Spartak Trnava win at 58% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Spartak Trnava – Komárno prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Skalica vs Spartak Trnava — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Niké Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Spartak Trnava to win

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 804 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Spartak Trnava ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Skalica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Skalica 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 831 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Spartak Trnava Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Spartak Trnava 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Spartak Trnava 0–1 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 648 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Skalica vs Spartak Trnava 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Skalica vs Spartak Trnava. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Niké Liga - Slovakia

Skalica1

Spartak Trnava1

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Niké Liga - Slovakia

Skalica1

Spartak Trnava1

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

119%

X22%

258%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%	56%	44%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	44%	56%	76%	24%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	16%	84%	43%	57%	70%	30%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	44%	56%	76%	24%
	16%	84%	43%	57%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	70%	30%	87%	13%

1st Half

119%

X38%

243%

1st Score

132%

X6%

262%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

37%

X-2

18%

X-X

13%

1-1

10%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-2

10.3%

0-2

10.0%

1-1

10.0%

0-1

9.9%

0-3

6.2%

1-3

5.8%

0-0

5.7%

2-1

5.3%

2-2

5.2%

1-0

5.0%

2-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Skalica vs Spartak Trnava — Recent Form

Spartak Trnava have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Skalica have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Spartak Trnava

Skalica

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Spartak Trnava

2/5

Skalica

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Spartak Trnava

4/5

Skalica

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Spartak Trnava

4/5

Skalica

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Spartak Trnava

2/5

Skalica

4/5

First Half Result

Spartak Trnava

0/5

Skalica

0/5

Correct Score

Spartak Trnava

0/5

Skalica

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Spartak Trnava – Komárno prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).