1. FCSB vs Farul Constanța

FCSB vs SSC Farul 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
FCSBFCSB

2–2

SSC FarulSSC Farul
2.3Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances FCSB would usually take 1.7 points and SSC Farul 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: FCSB.

FCSB −0.7 pts vs chancesSSC Farul −0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

FCSB vs SSC Farul stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

FCSB

SSC Farul

6

Shots on target

6

5

Big chances

4

5

Corners

3

4

Yellow cards

2

67%

Possession

33%

The match between FCSB and SSC Farul ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a FCSB win at 62% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Universitatea Craiova – SSC Farul prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

FCSB vs SSC Farul — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FCSB to win

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FCSB ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

FCSB Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FCSB 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

SSC Farul Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SSC Farul 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FCSB vs SSC Farul 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FCSB vs SSC Farul. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
FCSBFCSB2
SSC FarulSSC Farul2

Winner

1 62%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

162%
X21%
217%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
FCSB15%85%42%58%
SSC Farul46%54%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FCSB70%30%87%13%
SSC Farul94%6%98%2%

1st Half

144%
X39%
217%

1st Score

164%
X5%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

20%

X-X

13%

2-2

9%

X-2

6%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.3%

2-1

10.8%

2-0

10.6%

1-1

10.0%

3-1

7.1%

3-0

6.0%

0-0

5.5%

0-1

4.9%

2-2

4.7%

1-2

4.6%

3-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Universitatea Craiova – SSC Farul prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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