Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Universitatea Cluj2–1
UTA AradOn these chances Universitatea Cluj would usually take 1.3 points and UTA Arad 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Universitatea Cluj.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Universitatea Cluj
UTA Arad
6
Shots on target
6
3
Big chances
6
4
Corners
7
1
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
59%
Possession
41%
Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Universitatea Cluj to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,086 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Universitatea Cluj 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,646 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
UTA Arad 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Universitatea Cluj2
UTA Arad1Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Universitatea Cluj2UTA Arad1Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
20%
1-1
19%
2-2
19%
X-1
16%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score