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Lahti vs Jaro

Lahti vs Jaro 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 18)

Fair result

Lahti

2–0

Jaro

1.9Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Lahti would usually take 2.1 points and Jaro 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Lahti.

Lahti +0.9 pts vs chancesJaro −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lahti vs Jaro stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lahti had more than twice the shots on target

Lahti

Jaro

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Lahti and Jaro ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Lahti win with 66% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Lahti vs Jaro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti to win

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 49%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Lahti Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Jaro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jaro 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lahti vs Jaro 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lahti vs Jaro. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Lahti2

Jaro0

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Lahti2

Jaro0

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

166%

X19%

216%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	34%	66%	47%	53%	71%	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	34%	66%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	47%	53%	71%	29%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	12%	88%	34%	66%	60%	40%	80%	20%
	48%	52%	77%	23%	93%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	12%	88%	34%	66%
	48%	52%	77%	23%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	60%	40%	80%	20%
	93%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

149%

X35%

217%

1st Score

167%

X4%

230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

17%

X-X

11%

2-2

X-2

2-1

1-X

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.3%

2-0

8.7%

1-0

8.2%

1-1

8.1%

3-0

7.5%

3-1

7.1%

2-2

5.1%

1-2

4.5%

3-2

3.9%

0-0

3.7%

0-1

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score