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SJK vs HJK 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 18)

Fair result
SJKSJK

3–0

HJKHJK
1.3Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances SJK would usually take 1.0 points and HJK 1.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: HJK.

SJK +2.0 pts vs chancesHJK −1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SJK vs HJK stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

HJK had clearly more shots on target

SJK

HJK

4

Shots on target

6

4

Big chances

6

6

Corners

16

2

Yellow cards

1

38%

Possession

62%

The match between SJK and HJK ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an HJK win at 53% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: HJK – KuPS prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

SJK vs HJK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK to win

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

SJK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

HJK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

HJK 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SJK vs HJK 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SJK vs HJK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Veikkausliiga - Finland
SJKSJK3
HJKHJK0

Winner

2 53%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

124%
X23%
253%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
SJK37%63%68%32%
HJK17%83%43%57%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
SJK87%13%96%4%
HJK69%31%86%14%

1st Half

122%
X35%
243%

1st Score

135%
X4%
260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

35%

1-1

14%

X-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-1

8%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-2

10.0%

1-1

9.8%

0-1

7.5%

0-2

7.0%

2-2

6.5%

2-1

6.3%

1-3

6.1%

0-3

5.5%

1-0

4.5%

0-0

4.3%

2-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: HJK – KuPS prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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