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SJK vs Gnistan 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 19)

Robbed

SJK drew despite more chances

SJKSJK

2–2

GnistanGnistan
2.4Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances SJK would usually take 2.4 points and Gnistan 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: SJK.

SJK −1.4 pts vs chancesGnistan +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SJK vs Gnistan stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

SJK had more than twice the shots on target

SJK

Gnistan

6

Shots on target

3

6

Big chances

0

5

Corners

2

4

Yellow cards

0

72%

Possession

28%

The match between SJK and Gnistan ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a SJK win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: KuPS – Gnistan prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

SJK vs Gnistan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK to win

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: SJK ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

SJK Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: SJK 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Gnistan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gnistan 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SJK vs Gnistan 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SJK vs Gnistan. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Veikkausliiga - Finland
SJKSJK2
GnistanGnistan2

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

145%
X23%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
SJK22%78%53%47%
Gnistan32%68%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
SJK78%22%92%8%
Gnistan86%14%96%4%

1st Half

135%
X39%
226%

1st Score

153%
X5%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

8.6%

1-2

7.9%

0-1

6.5%

2-0

6.5%

2-2

6.1%

0-0

4.9%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.5%

3-0

4.1%

3-2

3.3%

1-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: KuPS – Gnistan prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

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