SJK vs Lahti 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 21)

Fair result

SJK

1–2

Lahti

1.7Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances SJK would usually take 1.3 points and Lahti 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lahti.

SJK −1.3 pts vs chancesLahti +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SJK vs Lahti stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

SJK had clearly more shots on target

SJK

Lahti

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between SJK and Lahti ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Lahti win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

SJK vs Lahti — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti to win

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 37%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

SJK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJK 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Lahti Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lahti 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SJK vs Lahti 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SJK vs Lahti. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

SJK1

Lahti2

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

SJK1

Lahti2

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

134%

X24%

242%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	84%	37%	63%	49%	51%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	84%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	49%	51%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	28%	72%	58%	42%	82%	18%	93%	7%
	23%	77%	52%	48%	77%	23%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	58%	42%
	23%	77%	52%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	93%	7%
	77%	23%	92%	8%

1st Half

130%

X37%

233%

1st Score

145%

X4%

251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

20%

X-X

14%

X-2

13%

X-1

11%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

9.2%

2-1

8.2%

2-2

6.9%

0-1

6.6%

1-0

5.8%

0-2

5.5%

1-3

5.3%

2-0

4.4%

0-0

4.1%

2-3

4.0%

3-1

4.0%

0-3

3.3%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score