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Mariehamn vs Jaro

Mariehamn vs Jaro 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 22)

Fair result

Mariehamn

2–0

Jaro

1.2Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Mariehamn would usually take 1.3 points and Jaro 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Mariehamn.

Mariehamn +1.7 pts vs chancesJaro −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mariehamn vs Jaro stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Mariehamn had clearly more shots on target

Mariehamn

Jaro

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Mariehamn and Jaro ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Mariehamn win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Mariehamn vs Jaro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mariehamn to win

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Mariehamn Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mariehamn 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Jaro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jaro 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mariehamn vs Jaro 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mariehamn vs Jaro. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Mariehamn2

Jaro0

Winner

1X 63%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Mariehamn2

Jaro0

Winner

1X 63%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

140%

X24%

237%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%	54%	46%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	56%	44%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	28%	72%	57%	43%	81%	19%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	56%	44%
	28%	72%	57%	43%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	81%	19%	94%	6%

1st Half

131%

X40%

229%

1st Score

149%

X5%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

21%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

2-1

9.6%

1-2

9.6%

1-0

7.0%

2-2

6.6%

0-1

5.5%

0-2

4.9%

2-0

4.8%

0-0

4.8%

1-3

4.3%

3-0

4.3%

3-1

3.8%

0-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score