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Ilves vs Jaro

Ilves vs Jaro 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Veikkausliiga - Season 2026 (Round 1)

Fair result

Ilves

2–0

Jaro

1.7Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Ilves would usually take 1.9 points and Jaro 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Ilves.

Ilves +1.1 pts vs chancesJaro −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ilves vs Jaro stats: how the match was played

Veikkausliiga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Ilves had more than twice the shots on target

Ilves

Jaro

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

64%

Possession

36%

The match between Ilves and Jaro ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Ilves win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Ilves vs Jaro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Veikkausliiga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ilves to win

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,794 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,077 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 933 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

Ilves Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ilves 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Jaro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jaro 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ilves vs Jaro 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ilves vs Jaro. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Ilves2

Jaro0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

· FT

Veikkausliiga - Finland

Ilves2

Jaro0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

157%

X21%

222%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	16%	84%	37%	63%	49%	51%	74%	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	16%	84%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	49%	51%	74%	26%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	41%	59%	67%	33%	85%	15%
	40%	60%	71%	29%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	41%	59%
	40%	60%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	67%	33%	85%	15%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

Correct Score

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.5%

2-0

8.1%

1-0

7.9%

3-1

6.7%

2-2

5.9%

1-2

5.7%

3-0

5.6%

0-1

4.6%

3-2

4.0%

0-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score