Sweden vs Poland 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

WC Qualification Europe - Season 2026 Play-offs - Finals (Knock Out)

The match between Sweden and Poland ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Sweden win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Sweden vs Poland — WC Qualification Europe Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Play-offs - Finals

Full-Time Result →

Poland

66.7%(6/9)

+49.9% Strongly above implied probability

Sweden

14.3%(1/7)

-67.9% Below implied probability

┊ 44.5% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Poland

66.7%(6/9)

+23.7% Strongly above implied probability

Sweden

28.6%(2/7)

-46.9% Below implied probability

┊ 53.9% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Poland

33.3%(3/9)

-38% Below implied probability

Sweden

42.9%(3/7)

-20.1% Below implied probability

┊ 53.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Poland

77.8%(7/9)

+23.7% Strongly above implied probability

Sweden

57.1%(4/7)

-9.2% Near implied probability

┊ 62.9% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Poland

55.6%(5/9)

+42.9% Strongly above implied probability

Sweden

28.6%(2/7)

-26.5% Below implied probability

┊ 38.9% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Poland

22.2%(2/9)

Sweden

0%(0/7)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Sweden and Poland across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Poland hit at 67% accuracy — that's 49.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 44.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Sweden sit 67.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Sweden vs Poland 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sweden vs Poland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	48%
X	23%
2	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	38%	62%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	50%	50%	75%	25%

1st Half


1	40%
X	37%
2	22%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
33%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
13%	5%	9%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	13%	3%

1st Score


1	60%
X	4%
2	36%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
20%	80%	48%	52%
34%	66%	64%	36%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
73%	27%	88%	12%
85%	15%	95%	5%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	1-2	2-0	2-2	0-1	3-1	0-0	3-0	0-2	3-2	1-3
10.0%	9.3%	7.4%	7.0%	6.5%	6.3%	5.5%	5.5%	4.3%	4.2%	3.8%	3.8%	3.2%

Full Time


1	48%
X	23%
2	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	38%	62%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	50%	50%	75%	25%

1st Half


1	40%
X	37%
2	22%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
33%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
13%	5%	9%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	13%	3%

1st Score


1	60%
X	4%
2	36%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
20%	80%	48%	52%
34%	66%	64%	36%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
73%	27%	88%	12%
85%	15%	95%	5%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	1-2	2-0	2-2
10.0%	9.3%	7.4%	7.0%	6.5%	6.3%

Full Time


1	48%
X	23%
2	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	38%	62%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	50%	50%	75%	25%

1st Half


1	40%
X	37%
2	22%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
33%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
13%	5%	9%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	13%	3%

1st Score


1	60%
X	4%
2	36%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
20%	80%	48%	52%
34%	66%	64%	36%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
73%	27%	88%	12%
85%	15%	95%	5%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	1-2	2-0	2-2	0-1	3-1	0-0	3-0	0-2	3-2	1-3
10.0%	9.3%	7.4%	7.0%	6.5%	6.3%	5.5%	5.5%	4.3%	4.2%	3.8%	3.8%	3.2%

Full Time


1	48%
X	23%
2	29%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	38%	62%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	50%	50%	75%	25%

1st Half


1	40%
X	37%
2	22%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
33%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
13%	5%	9%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	13%	3%

1st Score


1	60%
X	4%
2	36%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
20%	80%	48%	52%
34%	66%	64%	36%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
73%	27%	88%	12%
85%	15%	95%	5%

Correct Score

1-1	2-1	1-0	1-2	2-0	2-2
10.0%	9.3%	7.4%	7.0%	6.5%	6.3%

0 in a row

Sweden

0 in a row