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France vs Spain 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

World Cup - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)

Fair result

France

0–2

Spain

0.8Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances France would usually take 0.8 points and Spain 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: France.

France −0.8 pts vs chancesSpain +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

France vs Spain stats: how the match was played

World Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

France had clearly more shots on target

France

Spain

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

52%

The match between France and Spain ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Spain win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

France vs Spain — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · World Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Spain to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: France to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

France Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

France 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Spain Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Spain 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

France vs Spain 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for France vs Spain. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

World Cup - World

France0

Spain2

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

· FT

World Cup - World

France0

Spain2

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

135%

X23%

241%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%	49%	51%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	49%	51%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	28%	72%	58%	42%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	24%	76%	53%	47%	77%	23%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	58%	42%
	24%	76%	53%	47%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	77%	23%	91%	9%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

8.5%

2-1

7.8%

0-1

6.7%

2-2

6.6%

1-0

6.1%

0-2

5.6%

1-3

4.8%

2-0

4.6%

0-0

4.1%

3-1

4.0%

2-3

3.8%

3-2

3.5%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score