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Ried vs Wolfsberger AC 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 10)

Smash-and-grab

Wolfsberger AC won with fewer chances than Ried

RiedRied

1–2

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
2.6Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Ried would usually take 1.9 points and Wolfsberger AC 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Wolfsberger AC.

Ried −1.9 pts vs chancesWolfsberger AC +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC stats: how the match was played

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Ried

Wolfsberger AC

6

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

3

5

Corners

6

4

Yellow cards

0

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Ried and Wolfsberger AC ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Wolfsberger AC win with 49% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rapid Vienna – Wolfsberger AC prediction & betting tips (Nov 6, 2026).

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolfsberger AC to win

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,167 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.2% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Ried Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ried 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Wolfsberger AC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolfsberger AC 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,019 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ried vs Wolfsberger AC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Admiral Bundesliga - Austria
RiedRied1
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC2

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

127%
X25%
249%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ried38%62%71%29%
Wolfsberger AC21%79%52%48%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ried0%0%0%0%
Wolfsberger AC0%0%0%0%

1st Half

126%
X40%
234%

1st Score

142%
X6%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

16%

X-2

16%

X-X

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

0-1

10.0%

1-2

9.4%

0-2

8.4%

1-0

6.8%

2-1

6.5%

0-0

6.1%

2-2

5.5%

1-3

5.3%

0-3

4.6%

2-0

3.8%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rapid Vienna – Wolfsberger AC prediction & betting tips (Nov 6, 2026).

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