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Austria Wien vs Salzburg 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 10)

Fair result
Austria WienAustria Wien

1–1

SalzburgSalzburg
1.9Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Austria Wien would usually take 1.9 points and Salzburg 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Salzburg.

Austria Wien −0.9 pts vs chancesSalzburg +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Austria Wien vs Salzburg stats: how the match was played

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Austria Wien had more than twice the shots on target

Austria Wien

Salzburg

7

Shots on target

2

4

Big chances

1

6

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

3

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Austria Wien and Salzburg ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Salzburg win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: WSG Tirol – Austria Wien prediction & betting tips (Nov 8, 2026).

Austria Wien vs Salzburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg to win

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,167 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.2% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Austria Wien Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Austria Wien 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Salzburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,019 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Austria Wien vs Salzburg 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Austria Wien vs Salzburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Admiral Bundesliga - Austria
Austria WienAustria Wien1
SalzburgSalzburg1

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

125%
X25%
250%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Austria Wien39%61%72%28%
Salzburg20%80%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Austria Wien0%0%0%0%
Salzburg0%0%0%0%

1st Half

121%
X39%
240%

1st Score

133%
X6%
261%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

X-2

17%

1-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

8%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

0-1

9.9%

1-2

9.5%

0-2

8.7%

1-0

6.4%

2-1

6.2%

0-0

6.0%

1-3

5.5%

2-2

5.4%

0-3

5.0%

2-0

3.6%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: WSG Tirol – Austria Wien prediction & betting tips (Nov 8, 2026).

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