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Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 10)
Sturm Graz2–0
LASK LinzOn these chances Sturm Graz would usually take 1.8 points and LASK Linz 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sturm Graz.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz stats: how the match was played
Admiral Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Sturm Graz had more than twice the shots on target
Sturm Graz
LASK Linz
4
Shots on target
1
0
Big chances
0
10
Corners
3
3
Yellow cards
2
38%
Possession
62%
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Admiral Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sturm Graz to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,167 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,585 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sturm Graz ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,200 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Sturm Graz 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sturm Graz 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,887 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
LASK Linz 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,384 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Sturm Graz2
LASK Linz0Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Sturm Graz2LASK Linz0Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
| 40% | 60% | 73% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
16%
2-2
16%
X-X
15%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score