Always chasing
8/10Austria Wien conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Ried vs Austria Wien Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Always chasing
Austria Wien conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).
8/10Conceded first · Austria Wien
Bookmakers: Austria Wien 33% to winRied 42%
Ried vs Austria Wien score prediction
Admiral Bundesliga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.9 goals in total, a little over the Admiral Bundesliga average of 2.8.
goals expected
Ried1.7Austria Wien1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Ried vs Austria Wien: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Ried vs Austria Wien — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Admiral Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Austria Wien to win
Our model 40%Bookmakers 33%
Our track record
In 1,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 63%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 2,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 3,047 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,329 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 6,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Ried Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Ried 0–1 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,405 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Austria Wien Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Austria Wien 0–1 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 1,584 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Ried vs Austria Wien — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Ried vs Austria Wien. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Ried–
Austria Wien–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Ried–Austria Wien–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
135%
X25%
240%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 59% | 41% |
| 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
127%
X43%
231%
1st Score
149%
X5%
247%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
18%
X-X
16%
X-2
13%
X-1
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ried vs Austria Wien: the stats that stand out
Admiral Bundesliga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Austria Wien: always chasing and shot-shy · Ried: leaky
8/10Shot-shy
5/10Austria Wien failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 25%).
Leaky
1/10Ried kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Ried vs Austria Wien: attack vs defence
Admiral Bundesliga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Admiral Bundesliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Ried: good attack, weak defence (1.67 xG, 1.90 xGA a game)
- Austria Wien: weak attack, weak defence (1.00 xG, 1.65 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Ried vs Austria Wien form and luck check
Admiral Bundesliga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Admiral Bundesliga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- RiedBookmakers: 42% to win today.+2.0
- Austria WienBookmakers: 33% to win today.+0.7
Last 5 matches
RiedW
W
D
L
W
Austria WienL
D
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Ried 5th of 12 · Austria Wien 8th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Ried vs Austria Wien: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Admiral Bundesliga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Admiral Bundesliga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Austria Wien games less often than the Admiral Bundesliga average (57%), in Ried games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Ried7 of 10
Austria Wien5 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Ried8 of 10
Austria Wien3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 187 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Ried vs Austria Wien corners, cards and goal times
Admiral Bundesliga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameRied score early, Austria Wien late
Ried
Austria Wien
4.0
Corners won · league 4.9
4.8
5.6
Corners conceded · league 4.9
5.7
1.9
Cards · league 2.1
1.7
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.8
67%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
33%
20%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
44%
53%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
39%
24%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
11%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Ried2/5
Austria Wien1/5
Both Teams to Score
Ried4/5
Austria Wien3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Ried1/5
Austria Wien2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Ried3/5
Austria Wien3/5
First Half Result
Ried1/5
Austria Wien4/5
Correct Score
Ried0/5
Austria Wien0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction