Always chasing
7/8Al Gharafa conceded first in 7 of their last 8 (league 45%).
Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa
3.6goals expected · AFC Champions League Elite average 2.7
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa score prediction
AFC Champions League Elite
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.6 goals expected
3.6 goals in total: more goals than a typical AFC Champions League Elite game (average 2.7).
goals expected
Al Ahli2.8Al Gharafa0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →The match Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa will be played on Monday, October 26 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 3League Stage - Group Stage stage of the AFC Champions League Elite. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Al Ahli–
Al Gharafa–Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Al Ahli–Al Gharafa–Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
172%
X16%
212%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 89% | 32% | 68% |
| 58% | 42% | 85% | 15% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56% | 44% | 75% | 25% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
159%
X30%
211%
1st Score
176%
X5%
220%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
58%
X-1
18%
X-X
7%
2-2
5%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-X
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa: the stats that stand out
AFC Champions League Elite
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Al Gharafa: always chasing, shot-shy and leaky
7/8Shot-shy
4/8Al Gharafa failed to score in 4 of their last 8 (league 31%).
Leaky
1/8Al Gharafa kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 8 (league 31%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
AFC Champions League Elite
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent AFC Champions League Elite gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Al Ahli and Al Gharafa games less often than the AFC Champions League Elite average (51%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Al Ahli5 of 10
Al Gharafa5 of 8
BTTSleague 51%
Al Ahli5 of 10
Al Gharafa3 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 113 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa corners, cards and goal times
AFC Champions League Elite
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAl Ahli: last 8 with these statsAl Gharafa: last 8 with these statsGoal times close to the AFC Champions League Elite average
Al Ahli
Al Gharafa
4.0
Corners won · league 4.6
4.9
3.0
Corners conceded · league 4.6
6.6
1.8
Cards · league 1.9
2.0
2.8
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.9
35%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
0%
24%
Goals after 75' · league 27%
75%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
48%
50%
Conceded after 75' · league 27%
14%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Al Ahli0/2
Al Gharafa1/2
Both Teams to Score
Al Ahli1/2
Al Gharafa2/2
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Al Ahli2/2
Al Gharafa2/2
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Al Ahli1/2
Al Gharafa2/2
First Half Result
Al Ahli1/2
Al Gharafa1/2
Correct Score
Al Ahli0/2
Al Gharafa0/2
correct predictionwrong prediction