Always chasing
7/8Al Gharafa conceded first in 7 of their last 8 (league 45%).
- Home
- Al Gharafa vs Al-Qadsiah
Al Gharafa vs Al-Qadsiah Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Always chasing
Al Gharafa conceded first in 7 of their last 8 (league 45%).
7/8Conceded first · Al Gharafa
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Al Gharafa vs Al Quadisiya: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Al Gharafa vs Al Quadisiya — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · AFC Champions League Elite
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Quadisiya to win
Our model 61%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 1,068 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,747 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,180 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 192 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.3% than to our 50–55%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Quadisiya ahead at half-time
Our model 59%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Al Gharafa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Gharafa 0–1 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Al Quadisiya Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Al Quadisiya 2+ goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Al Gharafa vs Al Quadisiya — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Al Gharafa vs Al Quadisiya. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Al Gharafa–
Al Quadisiya–Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Al Gharafa–Al Quadisiya–Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
121%
X18%
261%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 68% | 32% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 54% | 73% | 27% |
 | 16% | 84% | 38% | 62% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
| 61% | 39% | 78% | 22% |
1st Half
113%
X28%
259%
1st Score
124%
X4%
272%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
51%
X-2
17%
X-X
8%
1-1
6%
1-2
5%
X-1
5%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-1
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
0-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Gharafa vs Al Quadisiya: the stats that stand out
AFC Champions League Elite
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Al Gharafa: always chasing and leaky
7/8Leaky
1/8Al Gharafa kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 8 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Al Gharafa vs Al Quadisiya: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
AFC Champions League Elite
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent AFC Champions League Elite gamesBTTS = both teams scoredAl Gharafa games go over 2.5 goals more often than the AFC Champions League Elite average (49%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Al Gharafa5 of 8
BTTSleague 52%
Al Gharafa4 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 126 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Al Gharafa vs Al Quadisiya corners, cards and goal times
AFC Champions League Elite
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.5
- Cards: league 1.8
- Goals before half-time: league 39%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Al Quadisiya1/3
Al Gharafa2/3
Both Teams to Score
Al Quadisiya3/3
Al Gharafa3/3
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Al Quadisiya1/3
Al Gharafa3/3
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Al Quadisiya3/3
Al Gharafa3/3
First Half Result
Al Quadisiya0/3
Al Gharafa2/3
Correct Score
Al Quadisiya2/3
Al Gharafa0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction