Nasaf vs Tractor Sazi 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2025/2026 West (Group Stage) (Round 5)

Fair result

Nasaf

0–1

Tractor Sazi

1.2Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Nasaf would usually take 1.1 points and Tractor Sazi 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Tractor Sazi.

Nasaf −1.1 pts vs chancesTractor Sazi +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nasaf vs Tractor Sazi stats: how the match was played

AFC Champions League Elite

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Tractor Sazi had more than twice the shots on target

Nasaf

Tractor Sazi

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Nasaf and Tractor Sazi ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Tractor Sazi win with 38% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ain – Tractor Sazi prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Nasaf vs Tractor Sazi — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · AFC Champions League Elite

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tractor Sazi to win

Correct

Our model 38%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Nasaf Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nasaf 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,675 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Tractor Sazi Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tractor Sazi 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nasaf vs Tractor Sazi 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nasaf vs Tractor Sazi. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

AFC Champions League Elite - Asia

Nasaf0

Tractor Sazi1

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

AFC Champions League Elite - Asia

Nasaf0

Tractor Sazi1

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

136%

X26%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%	65%	35%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	32%	69%	65%	35%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	66%	34%
	32%	69%	65%	35%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

132%

X45%

223%

1st Score

150%

X8%

242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

18%

X-X

17%

X-1

16%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

0-1

10.3%

1-0

10.1%

1-2

8.3%

0-0

8.1%

2-1

7.6%

0-2

6.6%

2-0

6.2%

2-2

4.6%

1-3

3.3%

3-1

3.2%

3-0

3.1%

0-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ain – Tractor Sazi prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).