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Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC vs Shanghai Port 4-6 Score & Prediction Review

AFC Champions League Elite - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

Smash-and-grab

Shanghai Port won with fewer chances than Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FCRatchaburi Mitrphol FC

4–6

Shanghai PortShanghai Port
2.4Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC would usually take 1.9 points and Shanghai Port 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Shanghai Port.

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC −1.9 pts vs chancesShanghai Port +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC vs Shanghai Port stats: how the match was played

AFC Champions League Elite

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC had clearly more shots on target

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC

Shanghai Port

9

Shots on target

6

6

Big chances

6

9

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

1

54%

Possession

47%

The match between Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC and Shanghai Port ended 4-6. Our AI model predicted a Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shanghai Port – Công an Hà Nội prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC vs Shanghai Port — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · AFC Champions League Elite

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Shanghai Port to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 37%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Shanghai Port Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Port 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC vs Shanghai Port 4-6 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC vs Shanghai Port. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
AFC Champions League Elite - Asia
Ratchaburi Mitrphol FCRatchaburi Mitrphol FC4
Shanghai PortShanghai Port6

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

138%
X24%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC27%73%56%44%
Shanghai Port28%72%57%43%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC80%20%92%8%
Shanghai Port80%20%92%8%

1st Half

135%
X37%
227%

1st Score

153%
X5%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

19%

X-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

8.2%

1-0

6.7%

0-1

6.6%

2-2

6.3%

2-0

5.4%

0-2

5.0%

0-0

4.7%

1-3

4.2%

3-1

4.0%

2-3

3.4%

3-0

3.2%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shanghai Port – Công an Hà Nội prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

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