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  4. Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96

Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Smash-and-grab

Energie Cottbus won with fewer chances than Hannover 96

Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus

3–1

Hannover 96Hannover 96
1.7Chances (xG)3.3

On these chances Energie Cottbus would usually take 0.7 points and Hannover 96 2.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hannover 96.

Energie Cottbus +2.3 pts vs chancesHannover 96 −2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96 stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hannover 96 had more than twice the shots on target

Energie Cottbus

Hannover 96

4

Shots on target

10

1

Big chances

7

2

Corners

6

0

Yellow cards

2

46%

Possession

55%

The match between Energie Cottbus and Hannover 96 ended 3-1. Our AI model predicted an Hannover 96 win at 58% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Heidenheim – Energie Cottbus prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 to win

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Energie Cottbus Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Energie Cottbus 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 76%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Hannover 96 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
2. Bundesliga - Germany
Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus3
Hannover 96Hannover 961

Winner

2 58%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

120%
X22%
258%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Energie Cottbus46%54%75%25%
Hannover 9617%83%42%58%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Energie Cottbus92%8%98%2%
Hannover 9667%33%83%17%

1st Half

119%
X34%
247%

1st Score

132%
X6%
263%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

42%

X-2

15%

1-1

11%

X-X

11%

X-1

6%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.5%

1-2

9.2%

0-1

9.0%

0-2

8.7%

0-0

5.9%

1-3

5.9%

0-3

5.8%

2-2

5.3%

2-1

5.2%

1-0

5.1%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Heidenheim – Energie Cottbus prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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