Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2025/2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)
Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal — Champions League Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Semi-finals
Full-Time Result →
Atlético Madrid+29.8% Strongly above implied probability
Arsenal+70.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 44% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Atlético Madrid+58.4% Strongly above implied probability
Arsenal+23.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Atlético Madrid+33% Strongly above implied probability
Arsenal-6.9% Near implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Atlético Madrid-42% Below implied probability
Arsenal+8.5% Above implied probability
┊ 61.5% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Atlético Madrid-44.1% Below implied probability
Arsenal+30.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Atlético MadridArsenalOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Atlético Madrid and Arsenal across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Arsenal hit at 75% accuracy — that's 70.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 44%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Atlético Madrid sit 44.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 24% | |
| 2 | 44% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
| 1 | 27% | |
| X | 41% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 5% | 13% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 24% | 5% | 14% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 14% | 2% |
| 1 | 47% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 48% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
 | 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 24% | |
| 2 | 44% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
| 1 | 27% | |
| X | 41% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 5% | 13% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 24% | 5% | 14% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 14% | 2% |
| 1 | 47% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 48% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Arsenal well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Atlético MadridArsenalBoth Teams To Score
Atlético MadridArsenalOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético MadridArsenalOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético MadridArsenalFirst Half Result
Atlético MadridArsenalCorrect Score
Atlético MadridArsenal