Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2025/2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)
Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid — Champions League Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Semi-finals
Full-Time Result →
Atlético Madrid+29.8% Strongly above implied probability
Arsenal+70.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 44% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Atlético Madrid+58.4% Strongly above implied probability
Arsenal+23.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Atlético Madrid+33% Strongly above implied probability
Arsenal-6.9% Near implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Atlético Madrid-42% Below implied probability
Arsenal+8.5% Above implied probability
┊ 61.5% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Atlético Madrid-44.1% Below implied probability
Arsenal+30.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Atlético MadridArsenalOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Arsenal and Atlético Madrid across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Arsenal hit at 75% accuracy — that's 70.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 44%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Atlético Madrid sit 44.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 60% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 59% | 42% | 80% | 20% |
| 1 | 45% | |
| X | 37% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39% | 4% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 10% | 4% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 12% | 4% |
| 1 | 64% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 30% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16% | 84% | 44% | 56% |
 | 47% | 53% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 60% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 59% | 42% | 80% | 20% |
| 1 | 45% | |
| X | 37% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39% | 4% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 10% | 4% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 12% | 4% |
| 1 | 64% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 30% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 44% | 56% |
| 47% | 53% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Arsenal well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Atlético MadridArsenalBoth Teams To Score
Atlético MadridArsenalOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético MadridArsenalOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético MadridArsenalFirst Half Result
Atlético MadridArsenalCorrect Score
Atlético MadridArsenal