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FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain

FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2025/2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)

The match between FC Bayern München and Paris Saint Germain ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a FC Bayern München win at 53% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain — Champions League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Semi-finals

Full-Time Result →

FC Bayern München

71.4%(10/14)

+58.7% Strongly above implied probability

Paris Saint Germain

50%(8/16)

+11.1% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 45% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

FC Bayern München

78.6%(11/14)

+44% Strongly above implied probability

Paris Saint Germain

68.8%(11/16)

+26% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

FC Bayern München

85.7%(12/14)

+57.5% Strongly above implied probability

Paris Saint Germain

68.8%(11/16)

+26.5% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.4% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

FC Bayern München

28.6%(4/14)

-52.3% Below implied probability

Paris Saint Germain

50%(8/16)

-16.5% Below implied probability

┊ 59.9% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

FC Bayern München

42.9%(6/14)

+11.7% Strongly above implied probability

Paris Saint Germain

56.3%(9/16)

+46.6% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 38.4% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

FC Bayern München

7.1%(1/14)

Paris Saint Germain

0%(0/16)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for FC Bayern München and Paris Saint Germain across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for FC Bayern München hit at 71% accuracy — that's 58.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 45%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for FC Bayern München sit 52.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	53%
X	20%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	11%	89%	26%	74%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	36%	64%	62%	38%

1st Half


1	42%
X	30%
2	28%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
31%	5%	13%
2-2	2-X	X-2
21%	5%	9%
1-2	X-X	2-1
4%	9%	3%

1st Score


1	54%
X	2%
2	44%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
16%	84%	38%	62%
36%	64%	60%	40%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
61%	39%	80%	20%
83%	17%	93%	7%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-2	2-2	3-1	3-2	2-0	1-0	3-0	2-3	1-3
7.6%	7.4%	7.1%	6.7%	6.3%	5.4%	5.3%	5.2%	4.4%	3.4%	3.0%

Full Time


1	53%
X	20%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	11%	89%	26%	74%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	36%	64%	62%	38%

1st Half


1	42%
X	30%
2	28%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
31%	5%	13%
2-2	2-X	X-2
21%	5%	9%
1-2	X-X	2-1
4%	9%	3%

1st Score


1	54%
X	2%
2	44%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
16%	84%	38%	62%
36%	64%	60%	40%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
61%	39%	80%	20%
83%	17%	93%	7%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-2	2-2	3-1
7.6%	7.4%	7.1%	6.7%	6.3%

Full Time


1	53%
X	20%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	11%	89%	26%	74%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	36%	64%	62%	38%

1st Half


1	42%
X	30%
2	28%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
31%	5%	13%
2-2	2-X	X-2
21%	5%	9%
1-2	X-X	2-1
4%	9%	3%

1st Score


1	54%
X	2%
2	44%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
16%	84%	38%	62%
36%	64%	60%	40%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
61%	39%	80%	20%
83%	17%	93%	7%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-2	2-2	3-1	3-2	2-0	1-0	3-0	2-3	1-3
7.6%	7.4%	7.1%	6.7%	6.3%	5.4%	5.3%	5.2%	4.4%	3.4%	3.0%

Full Time


1	53%
X	20%
2	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	11%	89%	26%	74%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	36%	64%	62%	38%

1st Half


1	42%
X	30%
2	28%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
31%	5%	13%
2-2	2-X	X-2
21%	5%	9%
1-2	X-X	2-1
4%	9%	3%

1st Score


1	54%
X	2%
2	44%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
16%	84%	38%	62%
36%	64%	60%	40%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
61%	39%	80%	20%
83%	17%	93%	7%

Correct Score

2-1	1-1	1-2	2-2	3-1
7.6%	7.4%	7.1%	6.7%	6.3%

FC Bayern München

0 in a row

Paris Saint Germain

0 in a row