Birmingham City vs Derby County 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 23)
The match between Birmingham City and Derby County ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Birmingham City win at 63% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
Birmingham City vs Derby County 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Birmingham City vs Derby County. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Full Time
| 1 | 63% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 15% |
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 82% | 18% |
1st Half
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 36% | |
| 2 | 14% |
Half Time/Full Time
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45% | 4% | 20% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 6% | 4% | 4% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 12% | 3% |
1st Score
| 1 | 69% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15% | 85% | 43% | 57% |
 | 50% | 50% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 88% | 12% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
Correct Score
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
Full Time
| 1 | 63% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 15% |
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 82% | 18% |
1st Half
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 36% | |
| 2 | 14% |
Half Time/Full Time
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45% | 4% | 20% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 6% | 4% | 4% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 12% | 3% |
1st Score
| 1 | 69% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 43% | 57% |
| 50% | 50% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 88% | 12% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
Correct Score
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score