Goal-fests
9/10Norwich City games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 53%).
Championship Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Championship match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 14 October 2026.
Championship Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 10 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
41%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
52%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
66%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
35%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
13%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Championship 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 41%, BTTS 52%, Over/Under 2.5 48%, Over/Under 3.5 66%, correct score 13%.
Championship stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 557 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsCorner-heavy
Goals a match
2.65
38th of 63
xG a match
2.67
44th of 62
Corners a match
10.46
7th of 62
Cards a match
3.8
46th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Championship: the stats that stand out
The Championship teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/10Goals at both ends
9/10Southampton: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 59%).
Shot-shy
5/10Watford failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Leaky
0/10Preston North End kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).
Banker as favourites
5/6Swansea City won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 48%).
Slow starters
2/10Birmingham City scored first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Always chasing
6/9Cardiff City conceded first in 6 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Championship England
Free predictions for today's Championship matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Queens Park Rangers–
Derby County–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Queens Park Rangers–Derby County–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
145%
X25%
230%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% |
 | 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 58% | 42% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
Portsmouth–
Sheffield United–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Portsmouth–Sheffield United–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Norwich City–
Southampton–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Norwich City–Southampton–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Lincoln City–
West Ham United–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Lincoln City–West Ham United–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Burnley–
Wolverhampton Wanderers–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Burnley–Wolverhampton Wanderers–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Watford–
Charlton Athletic–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Watford–Charlton Athletic–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Millwall–Lincoln City–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Millwall–Lincoln City–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Middlesbrough–
Cardiff City–Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Middlesbrough–Cardiff City–Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Wrexham–
Preston North End–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Wrexham–Preston North End–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
West Bromwich Albion–
Blackburn Rovers–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
West Bromwich Albion–Blackburn Rovers–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Swansea City–West Ham United–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Swansea City–West Ham United–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Southampton–
Bolton Wanderers–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Southampton–Bolton Wanderers–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Norwich City–Portsmouth–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Norwich City–Portsmouth–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Derby County–
Stoke City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Derby County–Stoke City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Bristol City–Sheffield United–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Bristol City–Sheffield United–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Birmingham City–Queens Park Rangers–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Birmingham City–Queens Park Rangers–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Wolverhampton Wanderers–Portsmouth–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Wolverhampton Wanderers–Portsmouth–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Bolton Wanderers–Middlesbrough–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Bolton Wanderers–Middlesbrough–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Sheffield United–Derby County–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Sheffield United–Derby County–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Portsmouth–Millwall–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Portsmouth–Millwall–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Charlton Athletic–Norwich City–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Charlton Athletic–Norwich City–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Championship xG: chances created and allowed
Every Championship team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsChampionship average · 1.42 xG, 1.43 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 24
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Championship Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Championship this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
115 matches
40.0%
Season (115) · 40.0% vs 43.5%
Season
−3.5
±8.8
30 days (34) · 35.3% vs 46.2%
30 days
−10.9
±16.1
Draws
115 matches
28.7%
Season (115) · 28.7% vs 26.0%
Season
+2.7
±8.0
30 days (34) · 29.4% vs 25.2%
30 days
+4.2
±14.6
Away wins
115 matches
31.3%
Season (115) · 31.3% vs 30.4%
Season
+0.9
±8.2
30 days (34) · 35.3% vs 28.6%
30 days
+6.7
±14.7
Over 2.5 goals
115 matches
62.6%
Season (115) · 62.6% vs 52.5%More than expected
Season
+10.1
±9.1More than expected
30 days (34) · 61.8% vs 53.7%
30 days
+8.1
±16.6
Both teams scored
115 matches
66.1%
Season (115) · 66.1% vs 55.1%More than expected
Season
+11.0
±9.1More than expected
30 days (34) · 64.7% vs 54.8%
30 days
+9.9
±16.7
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
115 matches
35.7%
Season (115) · 35.7% vs 30.8%
Season
+4.8
±8.4
30 days (34) · 38.2% vs 31.8%
30 days
+6.4
±15.5
Home side ahead at half-time
115 matches
32.2%
Season (115) · 32.2% vs 33.7%
Season
−1.5
±8.5
30 days (34) · 38.2% vs 35.5%
30 days
+2.8
±15.8
Level at half-time
115 matches
35.7%
Season (115) · 35.7% vs 41.3%
Season
−5.7
±9.0
30 days (34) · 32.4% vs 40.6%
30 days
−8.3
±16.5
Away side ahead at half-time
115 matches
32.2%
Season (115) · 32.2% vs 25.0%
Season
+7.2
±7.8
30 days (34) · 29.4% vs 23.9%
30 days
+5.5
±14.1
Home team scored 2+
115 matches
46.1%
Season (115) · 46.1% vs 44.7%
Season
+1.4
±8.9
30 days (34) · 47.1% vs 46.8%
30 days
+0.2
±16.3
Away team scored 2+
115 matches
35.7%
Season (115) · 35.7% vs 34.4%
Season
+1.2
±8.5
30 days (34) · 38.2% vs 33.5%
30 days
+4.7
±15.6
Outside the normal range this season: Over 2.5 goals 62.6% vs 52.5% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 35); Both teams scored 66.1% vs 55.1% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 60).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 115 | 40.0% | 43.5% | −3.5 | ±8.8 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 34 | 35.3% | 46.2% | −10.9 | ±16.1 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 115 | 28.7% | 26.0% | +2.7 | ±8.0 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 34 | 29.4% | 25.2% | +4.2 | ±14.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 115 | 31.3% | 30.4% | +0.9 | ±8.2 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 34 | 35.3% | 28.6% | +6.7 | ±14.7 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 115 | 62.6% | 52.5% | +10.1 | ±9.1 | More than expected |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 34 | 61.8% | 53.7% | +8.1 | ±16.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 115 | 66.1% | 55.1% | +11.0 | ±9.1 | More than expected |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 34 | 64.7% | 54.8% | +9.9 | ±16.7 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 115 | 35.7% | 30.8% | +4.8 | ±8.4 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 34 | 38.2% | 31.8% | +6.4 | ±15.5 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 115 | 32.2% | 33.7% | −1.5 | ±8.5 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 34 | 38.2% | 35.5% | +2.8 | ±15.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 115 | 35.7% | 41.3% | −5.7 | ±9.0 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 34 | 32.4% | 40.6% | −8.3 | ±16.5 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 115 | 32.2% | 25.0% | +7.2 | ±7.8 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 34 | 29.4% | 23.9% | +5.5 | ±14.1 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 115 | 46.1% | 44.7% | +1.4 | ±8.9 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 34 | 47.1% | 46.8% | +0.2 | ±16.3 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 115 | 35.7% | 34.4% | +1.2 | ±8.5 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 34 | 38.2% | 33.5% | +4.7 | ±15.6 | Normal range |
Championship luck check: the last 10 games
Championship teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.4 = 7 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck4
- Swansea CityClinical · +3 goals+7.4
Stoke CityClinical · +3 goals+5.4
Charlton Athletic+4.9
Sheffield UnitedClinical · +3 goals+4.7
Unlucky5
- Preston North EndWasteful · −3 goals−7.3
- Cardiff City9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −6 goals−6.8
- Norwich City−5.8
- Derby County−5.4
Burnley9 of 10 games−4.2
Points in line, but wasteful: Queens Park Rangers (−6 goals), Watford (−5), Lincoln City (−4, 9 games). Clinical: West Ham United (+5, 9 games), Southampton (+3, 9 games).
In line with their chances: Bristol City, West Bromwich Albion, Blackburn Rovers, Millwall, Wolverhampton Wanderers, Middlesbrough, Birmingham City, Wrexham, Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Championship last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 7–Oct 14 · 20 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Bolton Wanderers1-2Stoke CitySmash-and-grabStoke City beat Bolton Wanderers 2-1 despite fewer chances (xG 1.1 vs 3.2).
Bristol City0-1
Blackburn RoversSmash-and-grabBlackburn Rovers beat Bristol City 1-0 despite fewer chances (xG 0.2 vs 2.1).
Wolverhampton Wanderers1-3Bolton WanderersUpsetBookmakers gave Bolton Wanderers 10% to win at kick-off.
West Ham United1-1Queens Park RangersUpsetBookmakers gave the draw 18% at kick-off.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Championship Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Swansea City | 10 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | +9 | W W W W L |
2  Middlesbrough | 10 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | +6 | W W D D W |
3  Birmingham City | 10 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | +6 | W W D W L |
4  West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | W L L D W |
5  West Ham United | 9 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | +11 | D D W W W |
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
About Championship
The league profile compares Championship with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
The EFL Championship is the second-highest division of English football. It's known for its competitiveness and unpredictability, making it an exciting league to watch. The Championship has the highest average attendance of any second-tier football league in the world. Several famous clubs, including Leeds United, Nottingham Forest, and Aston Villa, have competed in the Championship in recent years.