Goals at both ends
9/10Burnley: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 59%).
Championship Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Championship match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 23 October 2026.
Championship Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 6 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
63%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
32%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
13%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Championship 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 42%, BTTS 50%, Over/Under 2.5 48%, Over/Under 3.5 63%, correct score 13%.
Championship stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 562 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsCorner-heavy
Goals a match
2.68
36th of 63
xG a match
2.67
44th of 62
Corners a match
10.39
6th of 62
Cards a match
3.83
45th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Championship: the stats that stand out
The Championship teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/10Brick wall
5/10Swansea City kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/10West Ham United scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).
Hard to break
2/10Southampton conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Goal-fests
8/10Blackburn Rovers games went over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 (league 54%).
Flop as favourites
1/6Wrexham won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 48%).
Fast starters
7/10Middlesbrough scored first in 7 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Championship England
Free predictions for today's Championship matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
· FT
Wrexham1
Burnley1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Wrexham1Burnley1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
146%
X27%
227%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 64% | 36% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
· FT
Cardiff City1
Stoke City1Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Cardiff City1Stoke City1Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
· FT
Blackburn Rovers1
Sheffield United2Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Blackburn Rovers1Sheffield United2Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
· FT
Watford2
Preston North End1Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Watford2Preston North End1Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
· FT
Southampton3
Swansea City1Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Southampton3Swansea City1Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
Bolton Wanderers2
West Ham United3Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Bolton Wanderers2West Ham United3Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
· FT
Norwich City2
Birmingham City1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Norwich City2Birmingham City1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
· FT
Derby County0
West Bromwich Albion1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Derby County0West Bromwich Albion1Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Charlton Athletic0
Queens Park Rangers0Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Charlton Athletic0Queens Park Rangers0Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
· FT
Bristol City0
Lincoln City1Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Bristol City0Lincoln City1Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Middlesbrough2
Millwall2Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Middlesbrough2Millwall2Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
· FT
Wolverhampton Wanderers1
Portsmouth1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Wolverhampton Wanderers1Portsmouth1Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Bolton Wanderers–Middlesbrough–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Bolton Wanderers–Middlesbrough–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Sheffield United–Derby County–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Sheffield United–Derby County–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Portsmouth–Millwall–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Portsmouth–Millwall–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Charlton Athletic–Norwich City–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Charlton Athletic–Norwich City–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
West Ham United–Southampton–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
West Ham United–Southampton–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Stoke City–Bristol City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Stoke City–Bristol City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Wolverhampton Wanderers–Watford–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Wolverhampton Wanderers–Watford–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Lincoln City–Burnley–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Lincoln City–Burnley–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Cardiff City–Birmingham City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Cardiff City–Birmingham City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Queens Park Rangers–Swansea City–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Queens Park Rangers–Swansea City–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Preston North End–West Bromwich Albion–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Preston North End–West Bromwich Albion–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Blackburn Rovers–Wrexham–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Blackburn Rovers–Wrexham–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Sheffield United–Wrexham–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Sheffield United–Wrexham–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Stoke City–Preston North End–Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Stoke City–Preston North End–Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Norwich City–Watford–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Norwich City–Watford–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Lincoln City–Birmingham City–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Lincoln City–Birmingham City–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Millwall–Derby County–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Millwall–Derby County–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Middlesbrough–Charlton Athletic–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Middlesbrough–Charlton Athletic–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Swansea City–Blackburn Rovers–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Swansea City–Blackburn Rovers–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Southampton–Queens Park Rangers–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Southampton–Queens Park Rangers–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Burnley–Portsmouth–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Burnley–Portsmouth–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Bolton Wanderers–Bristol City–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Bolton Wanderers–Bristol City–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Wolverhampton Wanderers–Cardiff City–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Wolverhampton Wanderers–Cardiff City–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Championship xG: chances created and allowed
Every Championship team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsChampionship average · 1.44 xG, 1.44 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 24
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Championship Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Championship this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
132 matches
39.4%
Season (132) · 39.4% vs 44.0%
Season
−4.6
±8.2
30 days (37) · 35.1% vs 46.0%
30 days
−10.8
±15.4
Draws
132 matches
28.0%
Season (132) · 28.0% vs 25.9%
Season
+2.1
±7.5
30 days (37) · 21.6% vs 25.4%
30 days
−3.7
±14.0
Away wins
132 matches
32.6%
Season (132) · 32.6% vs 30.1%
Season
+2.5
±7.6
30 days (37) · 43.2% vs 28.7%More than expected
30 days
+14.6
±14.1More than expected
Over 2.5 goals
132 matches
61.4%
Season (132) · 61.4% vs 52.6%More than expected
Season
+8.8
±8.5More than expected
30 days (37) · 54.1% vs 53.5%
30 days
+0.6
±15.9
Both teams scored
132 matches
63.6%
Season (132) · 63.6% vs 55.0%More than expected
Season
+8.6
±8.5More than expected
30 days (37) · 51.4% vs 54.6%
30 days
−3.3
±16.0
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
132 matches
36.4%
Season (132) · 36.4% vs 30.9%
Season
+5.4
±7.8
30 days (37) · 35.1% vs 31.6%
30 days
+3.5
±14.8
Home side ahead at half-time
132 matches
31.1%
Season (132) · 31.1% vs 33.9%
Season
−2.9
±7.9
30 days (37) · 29.7% vs 35.2%
30 days
−5.5
±15.1
Level at half-time
132 matches
36.4%
Season (132) · 36.4% vs 41.2%
Season
−4.9
±8.4
30 days (37) · 35.1% vs 40.7%
30 days
−5.6
±15.8
Away side ahead at half-time
132 matches
32.6%
Season (132) · 32.6% vs 24.9%More than expected
Season
+7.7
±7.3More than expected
30 days (37) · 35.1% vs 24.0%
30 days
+11.1
±13.6
Home team scored 2+
132 matches
46.2%
Season (132) · 46.2% vs 45.1%
Season
+1.1
±8.3
30 days (37) · 40.5% vs 46.9%
30 days
−6.4
±15.6
Away team scored 2+
132 matches
35.6%
Season (132) · 35.6% vs 34.2%
Season
+1.4
±7.9
30 days (37) · 32.4% vs 33.5%
30 days
−1.1
±14.9
Outside the normal range this season: Over 2.5 goals 61.4% vs 52.6% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 25); Both teams scored 63.6% vs 55.0% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 20); Away side ahead at half-time 32.6% vs 24.9% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 25).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 132 | 39.4% | 44.0% | −4.6 | ±8.2 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 37 | 35.1% | 46.0% | −10.8 | ±15.4 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 132 | 28.0% | 25.9% | +2.1 | ±7.5 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 37 | 21.6% | 25.4% | −3.7 | ±14.0 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 132 | 32.6% | 30.1% | +2.5 | ±7.6 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 37 | 43.2% | 28.7% | +14.6 | ±14.1 | More than expected |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 132 | 61.4% | 52.6% | +8.8 | ±8.5 | More than expected |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 37 | 54.1% | 53.5% | +0.6 | ±15.9 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 132 | 63.6% | 55.0% | +8.6 | ±8.5 | More than expected |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 37 | 51.4% | 54.6% | −3.3 | ±16.0 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 132 | 36.4% | 30.9% | +5.4 | ±7.8 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 37 | 35.1% | 31.6% | +3.5 | ±14.8 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 132 | 31.1% | 33.9% | −2.9 | ±7.9 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 37 | 29.7% | 35.2% | −5.5 | ±15.1 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 132 | 36.4% | 41.2% | −4.9 | ±8.4 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 37 | 35.1% | 40.7% | −5.6 | ±15.8 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 132 | 32.6% | 24.9% | +7.7 | ±7.3 | More than expected |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 37 | 35.1% | 24.0% | +11.1 | ±13.6 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 132 | 46.2% | 45.1% | +1.1 | ±8.3 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 37 | 40.5% | 46.9% | −6.4 | ±15.6 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 132 | 35.6% | 34.2% | +1.4 | ±7.9 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 37 | 32.4% | 33.5% | −1.1 | ±14.9 | Normal range |
Championship luck check: the last 10 games
Championship teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+8.9 = 9 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck3
Stoke CityClinical · +5 goals+8.9- Swansea City+5.4
- Southampton+4.6
Unlucky5
Preston North End−5.7
Cardiff CityWasteful · −4 goals−5.5
Derby CountyWasteful · −3 goals−5.0
Norwich City−4.8- Burnley−4.7
Points in line, but wasteful: Queens Park Rangers (−6 goals), Watford (−5), Bristol City (−4), Lincoln City (−4). Clinical: West Ham United (+6), Blackburn Rovers (+4), Sheffield United (+4), Wrexham (+3), Birmingham City (+3).
In line with their chances: Charlton Athletic, West Bromwich Albion, Portsmouth, Middlesbrough, Bolton Wanderers, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Millwall.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Championship last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 16–Oct 23 · 13 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Championship Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Swansea City | 11 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | L W W W W |
2  West Ham United | 11 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | +18 | W W D D W |
3  Middlesbrough | 11 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:16 | +6 | D W W D D |
4  Birmingham City | 11 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | +9 | W W W D W |
5  West Bromwich Albion | 11 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | W W L L D |
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Championship with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Championship
The EFL Championship is the second-highest division of English football. It's known for its competitiveness and unpredictability, making it an exciting league to watch. The Championship has the highest average attendance of any second-tier football league in the world. Several famous clubs, including Leeds United, Nottingham Forest, and Aston Villa, have competed in the Championship in recent years.