Coventry City vs Derby County Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 40)
Coventry City vs Derby County — Championship Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 40 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Derby County-25.3% Below implied probability
Coventry City+32.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 44.6% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Derby County-0.2% Near implied probability
Coventry City+9.5% Above implied probability
┊ 53.9% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Derby County+9.9% Above implied probability
Coventry City-9.3% Near implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Derby County+22.3% Strongly above implied probability
Coventry City+6% Above implied probability
┊ 62.9% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Derby County-20.8% Below implied probability
Coventry City-1% Near implied probability
┊ 38.9% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Derby CountyCoventry CityOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Coventry City and Derby County across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Coventry City hit at 59% accuracy — that's 32.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 44.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Derby County sit 25.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Coventry City vs Derby County Match Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Coventry City vs Derby County. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 59% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 19% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
| 1 | 39% | |
| X | 41% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 5% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 15% | 3% |
| 1 | 63% | |
| X | 5% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16% | 84% | 44% | 56% |
 | 44% | 56% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 71% | 29% | 88% | 12% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| 1 | 59% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 19% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
| 1 | 39% | |
| X | 41% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 5% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 15% | 3% |
| 1 | 63% | |
| X | 5% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 44% | 56% |
| 44% | 56% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 71% | 29% | 88% | 12% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 3-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Coventry City vs Derby County — Prediction Form & Streaks
Coventry City have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Derby County have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Coventry City well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Derby CountyCoventry CityBoth Teams To Score
Derby CountyCoventry CityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Derby CountyCoventry CityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Derby CountyCoventry CityFirst Half Result
Derby CountyCoventry CityCorrect Score
Derby CountyCoventry CityCoventry City & Derby County Teams in Best Form
Coventry CityDerby County