Derby County vs Stoke City 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 41)
Derby County vs Stoke City — Championship Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 41 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Derby County-8.5% Near implied probability
Stoke City+16.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43.7% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Derby County+10.9% Strongly above implied probability
Stoke City-13.7% Below implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Derby County+19.9% Strongly above implied probability
Stoke City-0.7% Near implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Derby County+23.1% Strongly above implied probability
Stoke City+30.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.4% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Derby County-12.6% Below implied probability
Stoke City+22.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.1% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Derby CountyStoke CityOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Derby County and Stoke City across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Stoke City hit at 80% accuracy — that's 30.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Stoke City sit 13.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Derby County vs Stoke City 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Derby County vs Stoke City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 27% | |
| 2 | 26% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 5% | 17% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 13% | 5% | 10% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24% | 76% | 58% | 42% |
 | 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 27% | |
| 2 | 26% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 5% | 17% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 13% | 5% | 10% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 58% | 42% |
| 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Derby County vs Stoke City — Prediction Form & Streaks
Derby County have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Stoke City have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Derby County well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Derby CountyStoke CityBoth Teams To Score
Derby CountyStoke CityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Derby CountyStoke CityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Derby CountyStoke CityFirst Half Result
Derby CountyStoke CityCorrect Score
Derby CountyStoke CityDerby County & Stoke City Teams in Best Form
Derby CountyStoke City