Swansea City vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 41)
Swansea City vs Middlesbrough — Championship Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 41 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
-2.2% Near implied probability
+26.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 44.6% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
+4.6% Above implied probability
-19.1% Below implied probability
┊ 53.9% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
+0.2% Above implied probability
-14% Below implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+18.3% Strongly above implied probability
+34.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62.9% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
-20.8% Below implied probability
+18.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.9% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Swansea City and Middlesbrough across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Swansea City hit at 85% accuracy — that's 34.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 62.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Middlesbrough sit 20.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Swansea City vs Middlesbrough Match Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Swansea City vs Middlesbrough. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 34% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 59% | 41% | 83% | 17% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 43% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 5% | 12% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 24% | 6% | 14% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 16% | 2% |
| 1 | 42% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 51% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% | |
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% | |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 34% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 59% | 41% | 83% | 17% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 43% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 5% | 12% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 24% | 6% | 14% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 16% | 2% |
| 1 | 42% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 51% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% | |
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% | |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Swansea City vs Middlesbrough — Prediction Form & Streaks
Middlesbrough have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Swansea City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Swansea City well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.