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Swansea City vs Middlesbrough 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 41)

The match between Swansea City and Middlesbrough ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Middlesbrough win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Swansea City vs Middlesbrough — Championship Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 41 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
42.2%(19/45)

-3.9% Near implied probability

Swansea CitySwansea City
51.1%(23/45)

+16.4% Strongly above implied probability

43.9% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
60%(27/45)

+10.9% Strongly above implied probability

Swansea CitySwansea City
48.9%(22/45)

-9.6% Near implied probability

54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
55.6%(25/45)

+3.7% Above implied probability

Swansea CitySwansea City
48.9%(22/45)

-8.8% Near implied probability

53.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
71.1%(32/45)

+15.8% Strongly above implied probability

Swansea CitySwansea City
82.2%(37/45)

+33.9% Strongly above implied probability

61.4% Implied Probability

First Half Result

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
33.3%(15/45)

-12.8% Below implied probability

Swansea CitySwansea City
46.7%(21/45)

+22.3% Strongly above implied probability

38.2% Implied Probability

Correct Score

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
8.9%(4/45)
Swansea CitySwansea City
13.3%(6/45)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Swansea City and Middlesbrough across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Swansea City hit at 82% accuracy — that's 33.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Middlesbrough sit 12.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Swansea City vs Middlesbrough 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Swansea City vs Middlesbrough. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
133%
X25%
241%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
58%42%82%18%
1st Half
126%
X43%
231%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
18%5%12%
2-22-XX-2
24%6%14%
1-2X-X2-1
3%16%2%
1st Score
141%
X6%
253%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036404/mygameodds/teams/nrhpaph05zp73fkpjuh0.png logo31%69%64%36%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036343/mygameodds/teams/dvvv4n3pja8rnphdv9gm.png logo25%75%57%43%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036404/mygameodds/teams/nrhpaph05zp73fkpjuh0.png logo86%14%95%5%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036343/mygameodds/teams/dvvv4n3pja8rnphdv9gm.png logo82%18%93%7%
Correct Score
1-11-20-12-11-00-22-20-0
11.7%9.1%8.7%7.9%7.7%6.5%6.1%6.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Swansea City vs Middlesbrough — Prediction Form & Streaks

Middlesbrough have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Swansea City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Swansea City well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
2 in a row
Swansea CitySwansea City
0 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0 in a row
Swansea CitySwansea City
3 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0 in a row
Swansea CitySwansea City
0 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0 in a row
Swansea CitySwansea City
4 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
3 in a row
Swansea CitySwansea City
1 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
0 in a row
Swansea CitySwansea City
1 in a row

Swansea City & Middlesbrough Teams in Best Form

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
W
W
D
L
D
Swansea CitySwansea City
D
W
L
W
D

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