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West Bromwich Albion vs Charlton Athletic

West Bromwich Albion vs Charlton Athletic 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Robbed

West Bromwich Albion drew despite more chances

West Bromwich Albion

1–1

Charlton Athletic

1.1Chances (xG)0.3

On these chances West Bromwich Albion would usually take 2.0 points and Charlton Athletic 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: West Bromwich Albion.

West Bromwich Albion −1.0 pts vs chancesCharlton Athletic +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

West Bromwich Albion vs Charlton Athletic stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

West Bromwich Albion had more than twice the shots on target

West Bromwich Albion

Charlton Athletic

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

72%

Possession

28%

The match between West Bromwich Albion and Charlton Athletic ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a West Bromwich Albion win at 53% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Charlton Athletic – Norwich City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

West Bromwich Albion vs Charlton Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

West Bromwich Albion to win

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: West Bromwich Albion ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

West Bromwich Albion Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

West Bromwich Albion 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: West Bromwich Albion 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Charlton Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Charlton Athletic 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 80%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

West Bromwich Albion vs Charlton Athletic 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for West Bromwich Albion vs Charlton Athletic. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

West Bromwich Albion1

Charlton Athletic1

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Championship - England

West Bromwich Albion1

Charlton Athletic1

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

153%

X26%

221%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	30%	70%	56%	44%	67%	33%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	30%	70%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	55%	45%	80%	20%	93%	7%
	45%	55%	80%	20%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	55%	45%
	45%	55%	80%	20%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	93%	7%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

138%

X42%

219%

1st Score

158%

X9%

233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.9%

1-1

12.3%

2-0

10.0%

2-1

9.8%

0-0

8.9%

0-1

7.6%

1-2

5.2%

3-0

5.1%

3-1

4.7%

2-2

4.1%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Charlton Athletic – Norwich City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).