Slow starters
2/10Birmingham City scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Wasteful
Queens Park Rangers are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−6goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Queens Park Rangers 26% to winBirmingham City 48%
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Birmingham City expected to create clearly more
2.7 goals in total, in line with the Championship average of 2.7.
goals expected
Birmingham City1.6
Queens Park Rangers1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Championship
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Birmingham City to win
Our model 40%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 2,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Birmingham City–
Queens Park Rangers–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Birmingham City–Queens Park Rangers–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
140%
X29%
232%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% |
| 38% | 62% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
129%
X42%
229%
1st Score
143%
X11%
246%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
1-1
20%
X-X
15%
X-2
13%
X-1
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Birmingham City: slow starters · Queens Park Rangers: shot-shy
2/10Shot-shy
4/10Queens Park Rangers failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Birmingham City: good attack, good defence (1.62 xG, 1.27 xGA a game)
- Queens Park Rangers: good attack, good defence (1.67 xG, 1.28 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Birmingham CityBookmakers: 48% to win today.−1.0
- Queens Park RangersBookmakers: 26% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−1.8
Last 5 matches
Birmingham CityW
D
W
L
D
Queens Park RangersD
D
D
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Birmingham City 5th of 24 · Queens Park Rangers 12th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Birmingham City and Queens Park Rangers games more often than the Championship average (59%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Birmingham City6 of 10
Queens Park Rangers5 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Birmingham City8 of 10
Queens Park Rangers6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 557 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Championship average
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers
6.6
Corners won · league 5.2
5.8
4.6
Corners conceded · league 5.2
3.9
2.3
Cards · league 1.9
1.9
1.7
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.6
50%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
55%
7%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
9%
75%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
64%
17%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
9%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Birmingham City2/5
Queens Park Rangers1/5
Both Teams to Score
Birmingham City3/5
Queens Park Rangers2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Birmingham City2/5
Queens Park Rangers2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Birmingham City3/5
Queens Park Rangers4/5
First Half Result
Birmingham City2/5
Queens Park Rangers2/5
Correct Score
Birmingham City0/5
Queens Park Rangers2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction