UCV vs Libertad 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

The match between UCV and Libertad ended 3-1. Our AI model predicted an Libertad win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

UCV vs Libertad — Copa Libertadores Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 1 · Group Stage

Full-Time Result →

Libertad

33.3%(1/3)

-23.4% Below implied probability

UCV

66.7%(2/3)

+53.3% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 43.5% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Libertad

33.3%(1/3)

-38.4% Below implied probability

UCV

66.7%(2/3)

+23.3% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Libertad

33.3%(1/3)

-37.9% Below implied probability

UCV

33.3%(1/3)

-37.9% Below implied probability

┊ 53.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Libertad

33.3%(1/3)

-45.9% Below implied probability

UCV

33.3%(1/3)

-45.9% Below implied probability

┊ 61.5% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Libertad

66.7%(2/3)

+75.1% Strongly above implied probability

UCV

33.3%(1/3)

-12.6% Below implied probability

┊ 38.1% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Libertad

0%(0/3)

UCV

0%(0/3)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for UCV and Libertad across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Libertad hit at 67% accuracy — that's 75.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Libertad sit 45.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

UCV vs Libertad 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for UCV vs Libertad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	31%
X	29%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	60%	40%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	70%	30%	90%	10%

1st Half


1	27%
X	44%
2	29%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
18%	5%	12%
2-2	2-X	X-2
23%	5%	15%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	18%	2%

1st Score


1	41%
X	11%
2	48%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
37%	63%	72%	28%
31%	69%	66%	34%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
91%	9%	98%	2%
87%	13%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1	2-0	2-2	1-3	0-3
13.0%	12.5%	10.8%	10.7%	8.2%	7.4%	6.9%	5.5%	4.4%	3.2%	3.0%

Full Time


1	31%
X	29%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	60%	40%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	70%	30%	90%	10%

1st Half


1	27%
X	44%
2	29%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
18%	5%	12%
2-2	2-X	X-2
23%	5%	15%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	18%	2%

1st Score


1	41%
X	11%
2	48%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
37%	63%	72%	28%
31%	69%	66%	34%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
91%	9%	98%	2%
87%	13%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
13.0%	12.5%	10.8%	10.7%	8.2%	7.4%	6.9%

Full Time


1	31%
X	29%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	60%	40%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	70%	30%	90%	10%

1st Half


1	27%
X	44%
2	29%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
18%	5%	12%
2-2	2-X	X-2
23%	5%	15%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	18%	2%

1st Score


1	41%
X	11%
2	48%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
37%	63%	72%	28%
31%	69%	66%	34%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
91%	9%	98%	2%
87%	13%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1	2-0	2-2	1-3	0-3
13.0%	12.5%	10.8%	10.7%	8.2%	7.4%	6.9%	5.5%	4.4%	3.2%	3.0%

Full Time


1	31%
X	29%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	60%	40%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	70%	30%	90%	10%

1st Half


1	27%
X	44%
2	29%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
18%	5%	12%
2-2	2-X	X-2
23%	5%	15%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	18%	2%

1st Score


1	41%
X	11%
2	48%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
37%	63%	72%	28%
31%	69%	66%	34%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
91%	9%	98%	2%
87%	13%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
13.0%	12.5%	10.8%	10.7%	8.2%	7.4%	6.9%

0 in a row

UCV

0 in a row