Copa Libertadores Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Copa Libertadores match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 11 October 2026.

Copa Libertadores Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Semi-finals

Full-Time Result

52%

Both Teams To Score

51%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

82%

First Half Result

45%

Correct Score

22%

Copa Libertadores 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 52%, BTTS 51%, Over/Under 2.5 63%, Over/Under 3.5 82%, correct score 22%.

Copa Libertadores stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 124 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Tight and cageyHome fortress

Goals a match

2.2

58th of 63

xG a match

2.86

25th of 62

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

9.3

41st of 62

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

4.58

19th of 63

Compare all 63 competitions →

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Copa Libertadores: the stats that stand out

The Copa Libertadores teams most unusual in their last 10 games.

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games
Always chasing
Libertad6/6

Libertad conceded first in 6 of 6 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).

Brick wall
Rosario Central6/8

Rosario Central kept 6 clean sheets in their last 8 (league 33%).

Low-scoring
Corinthians0/10

Corinthians games: none of their last 10 went over 2.5 goals (league 35%).

Always on the scoresheet
Flamengo0/10

Flamengo scored in all of their last 10 (league 33% fail to score).

Rarely both score
Lanús0/6

Lanús: both teams scored in none of their last 6 (league 43%).

Fast starters
Palmeiras7/9

Palmeiras scored first in 7 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).

Banker as favourites
Independiente del Valle5/6

Independiente del Valle won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 57%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →

Today's Betting Tips for Copa Libertadores

Free predictions for today's Copa Libertadores matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.

FluminenseFluminense–
PalmeirasPalmeiras–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

144%
X27%
229%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Fluminense25%75%59%41%
Palmeiras36%64%70%30%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT52%48%64%36%

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

1-0

11.2%

2-1

9.2%

0-1

8.3%

0-0

7.9%

2-0

7.4%

1-2

7.0%

EstudiantesEstudiantes–
FlamengoFlamengo–

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

PalmeirasPalmeiras–
FluminenseFluminense–

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

FlamengoFlamengo–
EstudiantesEstudiantes–

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 61%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Copa Libertadores xG: chances created and allowed

Every Copa Libertadores team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailsCopa Libertadores average · 1.42 xG, 1.42 xGAlast 10 games each
Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 32
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Copa Libertadores Results vs the Odds

Season 2026

How often each result has happened in Copa Libertadores this season, next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal range
◀ fewer −10 odds expected+10 more ▶

Home wins

46.3%

149 matches · odds said 49.9%Normal range

normal range ±7.4 pts

Draws

26.2%

149 matches · odds said 25.8%Normal range

normal range ±6.9 pts

Away wins

27.5%

149 matches · odds said 24.3%Normal range

normal range ±6.5 pts

Over 2.5 goals

33.6%

149 matches · odds said 42.4%Fewer than expected

normal range ±7.8 pts

Both teams scored

43.6%

149 matches · odds said 42.7%Normal range

normal range ±7.9 pts

Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

14.8%

149 matches · odds said 22.1%Fewer than expected

normal range ±6.5 pts

Home side ahead at half-time

28.9%

149 matches · odds said 36.6%Fewer than expected

normal range ±7.4 pts

Level at half-time

49.7%

149 matches · odds said 44.2%Normal range

normal range ±7.9 pts

Away side ahead at half-time

21.5%

149 matches · odds said 19.2%Normal range

normal range ±6.1 pts

Home team scored 2+

34.2%

149 matches · odds said 42.4%Fewer than expected

normal range ±7.5 pts

Away team scored 2+

18.8%

149 matches · odds said 22.3%Normal range

normal range ±6.4 pts

Outside the normal range this season: Over 2.5 goals 33.6% vs 42.4% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 40); Over 3.5 goals 14.8% vs 22.1% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 35); Home side ahead at half-time 28.9% vs 36.6% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 25); Home team scored 2+ 34.2% vs 42.4% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 30).

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table
Copa Libertadores, season 2026: results vs the closing odds
ResultPeriodMatchesHappenedOdds expectedGap (pts)Normal range (± pts)Verdict
Home winsSeason14946.3%49.9%−3.6±7.4Normal range
DrawsSeason14926.2%25.8%+0.4±6.9Normal range
Away winsSeason14927.5%24.3%+3.2±6.5Normal range
Over 2.5 goalsSeason14933.6%42.4%−8.8±7.8Fewer than expected
Both teams scoredSeason14943.6%42.7%+0.9±7.9Normal range
Over 3.5 goalsSeason14914.8%22.1%−7.3±6.5Fewer than expected
Home side ahead at half-timeSeason14928.9%36.6%−7.8±7.4Fewer than expected
Level at half-timeSeason14949.7%44.2%+5.5±7.9Normal range
Away side ahead at half-timeSeason14921.5%19.2%+2.3±6.1Normal range
Home team scored 2+Season14934.2%42.4%−8.2±7.5Fewer than expected
Away team scored 2+Season14918.8%22.3%−3.5±6.4Normal range

Copa Libertadores Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

Group A

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
FlamengoFlamengo
61651014:2+12
W
W
W
D
W
2
EstudiantesEstudiantes
692316:5+1
W
L
D
D
W
3
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
672136:11-5
L
W
L
W
L
4
Cusco FCCusco FC
610154:12-8
L
L
D
L
L
8th Finals
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Copa Libertadores

The league profile compares Copa Libertadores with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

The Copa Libertadores is the premier club football competition in South America. It features top clubs from across the CONMEBOL region competing for continental glory. The Copa Libertadores is known for its passionate fan base and intense matches. The tournament provides an opportunity for South American clubs to showcase their talent on the international stage.

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