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Santa Fe vs Peñarol 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

The match between Santa Fe and Peñarol ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Santa Fe win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Santa Fe vs Peñarol — Copa Libertadores Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 1 · Group Stage

Full-Time Result

PeñarolPeñarol
33.3%(1/3)

-23.8% Below implied probability

Santa FeSanta Fe
66.7%(2/3)

+52.6% Strongly above implied probability

43.7% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

PeñarolPeñarol
33.3%(1/3)

-38.4% Below implied probability

Santa FeSanta Fe
33.3%(1/3)

-38.4% Below implied probability

54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PeñarolPeñarol
66.7%(2/3)

+24.2% Strongly above implied probability

Santa FeSanta Fe
66.7%(2/3)

+24.2% Strongly above implied probability

53.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

PeñarolPeñarol
100%(3/3)

+62.6% Strongly above implied probability

Santa FeSanta Fe
100%(3/3)

+62.6% Strongly above implied probability

61.5% Implied Probability

First Half Result

PeñarolPeñarol
0%(0/3)

-100% Below implied probability

Santa FeSanta Fe
66.7%(2/3)

+75.1% Strongly above implied probability

38.1% Implied Probability

Correct Score

PeñarolPeñarol
33.3%(1/3)
Santa FeSanta Fe
33.3%(1/3)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Santa Fe and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Santa Fe hit at 67% accuracy — that's 75.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Santa Fe vs Peñarol 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Santa Fe vs Peñarol. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
138%
X27%
235%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
68%32%88%12%
1st Half
127%
X43%
230%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
18%5%12%
2-22-XX-2
24%5%15%
1-2X-X2-1
2%17%2%
1st Score
142%
X9%
249%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1734711014/mygameodds/teams/pggvylntvokeepdi8k1j.png logo32%68%66%34%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182453/mygameodds/teams/pmvbrbxktpffrxs2b2ie.png logo35%65%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1734711014/mygameodds/teams/pggvylntvokeepdi8k1j.png logo87%13%96%4%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182453/mygameodds/teams/pmvbrbxktpffrxs2b2ie.png logo89%11%97%3%
Correct Score
1-11-00-10-02-11-22-00-2
12.3%11.0%10.8%9.2%7.7%7.5%7.2%6.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Santa Fe vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
1 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
2 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
1 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
0 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
1 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
0 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
3 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
3 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
2 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
0 in a row
Santa FeSanta Fe
0 in a row

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