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Barcelona Guayaquil vs Boca Juniors

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Boca Juniors 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

The match between Barcelona Guayaquil and Boca Juniors ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Boca Juniors win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Boca Juniors — Copa Libertadores Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 4 · Group Stage

Full-Time Result →

Boca Juniors

60%(3/5)

+33.9% Strongly above implied probability

Barcelona Guayaquil

33.3%(3/9)

-25.7% Below implied probability

┊ 44.8% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Boca Juniors

40%(2/5)

-26.7% Below implied probability

Barcelona Guayaquil

55.6%(5/9)

+1.8% Above implied probability

┊ 54.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Boca Juniors

60%(3/5)

+10.3% Strongly above implied probability

Barcelona Guayaquil

66.7%(6/9)

+22.6% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.4% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Boca Juniors

100%(5/5)

+66.9% Strongly above implied probability

Barcelona Guayaquil

100%(9/9)

+66.9% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 59.9% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Boca Juniors

40%(2/5)

+4.4% Above implied probability

Barcelona Guayaquil

55.6%(5/9)

+45.2% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 38.3% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Boca Juniors

20%(1/5)

Barcelona Guayaquil

11.1%(1/9)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Barcelona Guayaquil and Boca Juniors across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Boca Juniors hit at 100% accuracy — that's 66.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 59.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Boca Juniors sit 26.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Boca Juniors 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Barcelona Guayaquil vs Boca Juniors. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	33%
X	27%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	69%	31%	89%	11%

1st Half


1	30%
X	47%
2	23%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
22%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
16%	5%	12%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	20%	2%

1st Score


1	52%
X	10%
2	38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
36%	64%	71%	29%
31%	69%	65%	35%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
90%	10%	97%	3%
86%	14%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1	2-0	2-2	0-3	1-3
12.9%	11.6%	10.6%	9.7%	8.1%	7.4%	7.0%	5.9%	4.1%	3.5%	3.3%

Full Time


1	33%
X	27%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	69%	31%	89%	11%

1st Half


1	30%
X	47%
2	23%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
22%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
16%	5%	12%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	20%	2%

1st Score


1	52%
X	10%
2	38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
36%	64%	71%	29%
31%	69%	65%	35%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
90%	10%	97%	3%
86%	14%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
12.9%	11.6%	10.6%	9.7%	8.1%	7.4%	7.0%

Full Time


1	33%
X	27%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	69%	31%	89%	11%

1st Half


1	30%
X	47%
2	23%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
22%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
16%	5%	12%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	20%	2%

1st Score


1	52%
X	10%
2	38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
36%	64%	71%	29%
31%	69%	65%	35%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
90%	10%	97%	3%
86%	14%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1	2-0	2-2	0-3	1-3
12.9%	11.6%	10.6%	9.7%	8.1%	7.4%	7.0%	5.9%	4.1%	3.5%	3.3%

Full Time


1	33%
X	27%
2	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	69%	31%	89%	11%

1st Half


1	30%
X	47%
2	23%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
22%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
16%	5%	12%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	20%	2%

1st Score


1	52%
X	10%
2	38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
36%	64%	71%	29%
31%	69%	65%	35%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
90%	10%	97%	3%
86%	14%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	1-0	0-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
12.9%	11.6%	10.6%	9.7%	8.1%	7.4%	7.0%

Boca Juniors

1 in a row

Barcelona Guayaquil

0 in a row