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Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 8th Finals (Knock Out)
Atlético Mineiro won with less than half the chances
Bragantino0–1
Atlético MineiroOn these chances Bragantino would usually take 2.2 points and Atlético Mineiro 0.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Bragantino.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro stats: how the match was played
Copa Sudamericana
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Bragantino had more than twice the shots on target
Bragantino
Atlético Mineiro
7
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
1
7
Corners
3
2
Yellow cards
0
55%
Possession
45%
Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Sudamericana
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bragantino to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Bragantino 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Mineiro 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bragantino vs Atlético Mineiro. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Bragantino0
Atlético Mineiro1Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Bragantino0Atlético Mineiro1Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 54% | 46% |
| 40% | 60% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
19%
X-1
17%
X-2
12%
2-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score