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Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4 Score & Prediction Review

DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)

Fair result
Wehen WiesbadenWehen Wiesbaden

0–4

Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
0.5Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Wehen Wiesbaden would usually take 0.4 points and Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Wehen Wiesbaden −0.4 pts vs chancesBayer 04 Leverkusen +0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen stats: how the match was played

DFB Pokal

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen had more than twice the shots on target

Wehen Wiesbaden

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1

Shots on target

8

0

Big chances

3

4

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

0

28%

Possession

72%

The match between Wehen Wiesbaden and Bayer 04 Leverkusen ended 0-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Bayer 04 Leverkusen win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Nürnberg prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · DFB Pokal

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 89%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 39%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Wehen Wiesbaden Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wehen Wiesbaden 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
DFB Pokal - Germany
Wehen WiesbadenWehen Wiesbaden0
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen4

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

130%
X22%
248%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wehen Wiesbaden36%64%64%36%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen21%79%48%52%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wehen Wiesbaden85%15%95%5%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen72%28%86%14%

1st Half

124%
X37%
239%

1st Score

140%
X4%
256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

1-1

17%

X-2

16%

X-X

12%

X-1

10%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.4%

1-2

8.7%

0-1

7.3%

2-1

6.8%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

6.1%

1-0

5.6%

1-3

5.1%

0-0

4.4%

2-0

4.0%

0-3

4.0%

2-3

3.4%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Nürnberg prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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