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Riga vs Jablonec Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Riga vs Jablonec — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Riga to win
Our track record
In 1,814 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,438 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Riga ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 546 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Riga 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,036 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Jablonec 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,586 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Riga vs Jablonec — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Riga vs Jablonec. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Riga–
Jablonec–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Riga–Jablonec–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15% | 85% | 40% | 60% |
 | 45% | 55% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 34% | 83% | 17% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
44%
X-1
19%
X-X
11%
2-2
9%
X-2
6%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-1
10.0%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RigaJablonecBoth Teams to Score
RigaJablonecOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RigaJablonecOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RigaJablonecFirst Half Result
RigaJablonecCorrect Score
RigaJablonec