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AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2025/2026 Quarter-finals (Knock Out)

The match between AEK Athens and Rayo Vallecano ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a AEK Athens win with 60% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano — Europa Conference League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Quarter-finals

Full-Time Result

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
50%(6/12)

+13.4% Strongly above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
56.3%(9/16)

+27.7% Strongly above implied probability

44.1% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
100%(12/12)

+84.5% Strongly above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
56.3%(9/16)

+3.9% Above implied probability

54.2% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
58.3%(7/12)

+8.8% Above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
37.5%(6/16)

-30% Below implied probability

53.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
58.3%(7/12)

-5.5% Near implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
56.3%(9/16)

-8.8% Near implied probability

61.7% Implied Probability

First Half Result

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
50%(6/12)

+29.9% Strongly above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
37.5%(6/16)

-2.6% Near implied probability

38.5% Implied Probability

Correct Score

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0%(0/12)
AEK AthensAEK Athens
6.3%(1/16)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for AEK Athens and Rayo Vallecano across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Both Teams To Score predictions for Rayo Vallecano hit at 100% accuracy — that's 84.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for AEK Athens sit 30% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
160%
X21%
219%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
56%44%78%22%
1st Half
146%
X36%
218%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
43%4%18%
2-22-XX-2
9%4%6%
1-2X-X2-1
2%11%3%
1st Score
167%
X5%
227%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693039651/mygameodds/teams/in5bkkvxyyfaryvf0tky.png logo16%84%43%57%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035958/mygameodds/teams/iq8apoq7egjuxd70m6q3.png logo46%54%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693039651/mygameodds/teams/in5bkkvxyyfaryvf0tky.png logo69%31%86%14%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035958/mygameodds/teams/iq8apoq7egjuxd70m6q3.png logo93%7%98%2%
Correct Score
2-11-02-01-13-03-1
10.2%10.1%9.9%9.8%7.0%6.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano — Prediction Form & Streaks

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Rayo Vallecano well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
1 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
5 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
2 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
1 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
0 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
1 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
0 in a row

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