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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2025/2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)

The match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Crystal Palace ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Shakhtar Donetsk win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace — Europa Conference League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Semi-finals

Full-Time Result →

Shakhtar Donetsk

50%(7/14)

+16.6% Strongly above implied probability

Crystal Palace

37.5%(6/16)

-12.6% Below implied probability

┊ 42.9% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Shakhtar Donetsk

64.3%(9/14)

+18.4% Strongly above implied probability

Crystal Palace

75%(12/16)

+38.1% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.3% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Shakhtar Donetsk

57.1%(8/14)

+6.1% Above implied probability

Crystal Palace

62.5%(10/16)

+16.2% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 53.8% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Shakhtar Donetsk

71.4%(10/14)

+17.4% Strongly above implied probability

Crystal Palace

81.3%(13/16)

+33.7% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 60.8% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Shakhtar Donetsk

35.7%(5/14)

-5.8% Near implied probability

Crystal Palace

37.5%(6/16)

-1.1% Near implied probability

┊ 37.9% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Shakhtar Donetsk

7.1%(1/14)

Crystal Palace

12.5%(2/16)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Shakhtar Donetsk and Crystal Palace across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Both Teams To Score predictions for Crystal Palace hit at 75% accuracy — that's 38.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Crystal Palace sit 12.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	46%
X	24%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	59%	41%	82%	18%

1st Half


1	39%
X	40%
2	21%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
33%	5%	18%
2-2	2-X	X-2
12%	4%	8%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	14%	3%

1st Score


1	58%
X	7%
2	35%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
25%	75%	55%	45%
37%	63%	69%	31%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	91%	9%
88%	12%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-2	0-2	3-1	3-0
11.0%	9.8%	8.8%	7.8%	7.6%	6.6%	6.6%	5.1%	4.7%	4.5%	4.5%

Full Time


1	46%
X	24%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	59%	41%	82%	18%

1st Half


1	39%
X	40%
2	21%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
33%	5%	18%
2-2	2-X	X-2
12%	4%	8%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	14%	3%

1st Score


1	58%
X	7%
2	35%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
25%	75%	55%	45%
37%	63%	69%	31%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	91%	9%
88%	12%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	0-0
11.0%	9.8%	8.8%	7.8%	7.6%	6.6%	6.6%

Full Time


1	46%
X	24%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	59%	41%	82%	18%

1st Half


1	39%
X	40%
2	21%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
33%	5%	18%
2-2	2-X	X-2
12%	4%	8%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	14%	3%

1st Score


1	58%
X	7%
2	35%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
25%	75%	55%	45%
37%	63%	69%	31%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	91%	9%
88%	12%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	0-0	2-2	0-2	3-1	3-0
11.0%	9.8%	8.8%	7.8%	7.6%	6.6%	6.6%	5.1%	4.7%	4.5%	4.5%

Full Time


1	46%
X	24%
2	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	59%	41%	82%	18%

1st Half


1	39%
X	40%
2	21%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
33%	5%	18%
2-2	2-X	X-2
12%	4%	8%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	14%	3%

1st Score


1	58%
X	7%
2	35%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
25%	75%	55%	45%
37%	63%	69%	31%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	91%	9%
88%	12%	96%	4%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	1-2	0-0
11.0%	9.8%	8.8%	7.8%	7.6%	6.6%	6.6%

0 in a row

Crystal Palace

0 in a row