Dila vs Virtus 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Dila vs Virtus stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Dila had more than twice the shots on target

Dila

Virtus

4

Shots on target

1

5

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

2

The match between Dila and Virtus ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Dila win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Dila vs Virtus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dila to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Dila ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Dila Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dila 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Dila 2+ goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 25%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Virtus Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Virtus 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 92%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Dila vs Virtus 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dila vs Virtus. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
DilaDila3
VirtusVirtus1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

147%
X25%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Dila25%75%56%44%
Virtus38%62%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Dila79%21%92%8%
Virtus89%11%96%4%

1st Half

131%
X42%
227%

1st Score

152%
X8%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

21%

X-X

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

10.4%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.1%

0-1

7.9%

0-0

7.9%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

4.7%

3-0

4.7%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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