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Dila vs Virtus 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Dila vs Virtus stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Dila had more than twice the shots on target
Dila
Virtus
4
Shots on target
1
5
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
2
Dila vs Virtus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Dila to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Dila ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Dila 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Dila 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Virtus 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Dila vs Virtus 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dila vs Virtus. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% | |
| 38% | 62% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% | |
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
21%
X-X
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score