- Home
- Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide
Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Hegelmann Litauen had clearly more shots on target
Hegelmann Litauen
Paide
3
Shots on target
2
1
Corners
4
0
Yellow cards
0
Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Paide to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hegelmann Litauen to win.
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Paide 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Hegelmann Litauen1
Paide1Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Hegelmann Litauen1Paide1Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 61% | 39% |
 | 26% | 74% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
X-2
17%
1-1
15%
X-X
13%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score