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Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Santa Coloma had more than twice the shots on target
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
Shots on target
4
3
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
1
Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Santa Coloma to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Penybont 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Our model’s pick
FC Santa Coloma 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma1Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Penybont0FC Santa Coloma1Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 43% | 57% | 76% | 24% |
 | 27% | 73% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
38%
X-2
20%
X-X
13%
1-1
9%
X-1
8%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.2%
1-1
10.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score