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Stjarnan vs Víkingur 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Stjarnan vs Víkingur stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Stjarnan had more than twice the shots on target
Stjarnan
Víkingur
7
Shots on target
3
9
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
4
Stjarnan vs Víkingur — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Stjarnan to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Víkingur ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Stjarnan ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,231 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Stjarnan 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Stjarnan 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,867 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Víkingur 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Stjarnan vs Víkingur 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Stjarnan vs Víkingur. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Stjarnan3
Víkingur1Winner
1X 62%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Stjarnan3Víkingur1Winner
1X 62%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 53% | 47% |
 | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
1-1
19%
X-2
14%
X-1
12%
X-X
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
0-0
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score