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FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont stats: how the match was played
Europa Conference League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Santa Coloma
Penybont
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Santa Coloma to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
In 559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
FC Santa Coloma ahead at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 532 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
FC Santa Coloma 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Penybont 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Santa Coloma3
Penybont0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
FC Santa Coloma3Penybont0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18% | 82% | 43% | 57% |
 | 42% | 58% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32% | 84% | 16% |
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
43%
X-1
19%
X-X
11%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
1-X
3%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score