BATE vs AF Elbasani 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

BATE vs AF Elbasani stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

BATE had more than twice the shots on target

BATE

AF Elbasani

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between BATE and AF Elbasani ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an AF Elbasani win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

BATE vs AF Elbasani — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AF Elbasani to win

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

BATE Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

BATE 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

AF Elbasani Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AF Elbasani 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

BATE vs AF Elbasani 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for BATE vs AF Elbasani. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa Conference League - Europe

BATE0

AF Elbasani0

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Europa Conference League - Europe

BATE0

AF Elbasani0

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

126%

X24%

250%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	27%	73%	51%	49%	63%	37%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	27%	73%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	43%	57%	74%	26%	91%	9%	97%	3%
	24%	76%	55%	45%	78%	22%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	43%	57%	74%	26%
	24%	76%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	91%	9%	97%	3%
	78%	22%	91%	9%

1st Half

117%

X45%

238%

1st Score

132%

X8%

260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-2

19%

X-X

18%

1-1

10%

X-1

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

0-1

11.4%

1-1

11.1%

0-2

9.4%

1-2

8.7%

0-0

8.0%

1-0

7.3%

2-1

5.8%

0-3

5.2%

1-3

4.5%

2-2

4.3%

2-0

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score