Milsami vs Velez 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 1st Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Milsami vs Velez stats: how the match was played

Europa Conference League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Milsami

Velez

1

Corners

3

5

Yellow cards

3

1

Red cards

0

The match between Milsami and Velez ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Milsami win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Milsami vs Velez — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa Conference League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Milsami to win

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Milsami Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Milsami 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Velez Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Velez 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Milsami vs Velez 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Milsami vs Velez. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
MilsamiMilsami0
VelezVelez1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

147%
X27%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Milsami26%74%59%41%
Velez41%59%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Milsami82%18%93%7%
Velez92%8%98%2%

1st Half

133%
X46%
221%

1st Score

153%
X10%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

20%

X-1

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

1%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

1-0

12.2%

1-1

12.1%

0-0

9.5%

2-1

8.9%

0-1

8.8%

2-0

8.6%

1-2

6.0%

3-0

4.5%

2-2

4.4%

0-2

4.1%

3-1

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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